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  • Nicu

    Nicu 9:15 pm on February 5, 2012 - 4 hours ago

    “Ladies and Gentlemen, this is your captain speaking. We are flying through an area of turbulence. Please return to your seats and fasten your seatbelts.”

    That’s what Captain Cook (Tim Cook, not James) could tell Apple’s stakeholders (employees, shareholders, customers, partners) in light of what happened in Germany on Friday and might reoccur soon: the temporary removal of products (or, in the future, product and service features) as a result of patent assertions by Android device makers in retaliation for Apple’s IP enforcement. He probably won’t make a statement like that, at least not until the going gets rougher and demands for explanations get louder.

    Temporary sales bans appear more spectacular than they are impactful. Apple can always amend its proposals, and the latest one it made may already be sufficient under Orange-Book-Standard. If it’s not, we’ll see how far Apple will go — and the more concessions Apple makes, the more MMI has to watch out for antitrust blowback.

    SOURCE:
    http://fosspatents.blogspot.com/2012/02/apples-iterative-approach-to-frand.html

     
  • Nicu

    Nicu 9:32 am on February 5, 2012 - 15 hours ago

    “Larry Page and Sergey Brin haven’t turned into Jim Balsillie and Mike Lazaridis or anything, but Google just endured the worst month in the company’s history and nothing will get easier as rivals and the government take aim at what used to be such a delightful fuzzy little tech success story.”

    SOURCE:
    http://paidcontent.org/article/419-was-googles-disastrous-january-a-passing-storm-or-sign-of-things-to-com/

     
  • 5
    Nicu

    Nicu 9:53 am on February 2, 2012 - 4 days ago

    “Amazon’s problem is that the “printers” they’re selling have crappy margins and the “ink” they’re selling has crappy margins. It’s starting to sound a little nuts.”

    Btw, it seems AMZN’s $1 in earnings worths 10 times more than AAPL’s $1 in earnings (P/E 130.72 vs. 12.99). Guess what? Only one of them is growing.

    SOURCE:
    http://techcrunch.com/2012/02/01/is-this-nuts/

     
    • henrystar

      Richard 11:21 am on February 2, 2012 4 days ago

      Makes you wonder what ANY stock is “really” “worth.”

      • conshmillo

        conshmillo 12:11 pm on February 2, 2012 4 days ago

        Makes you think what are the fundamental analysis worth.

        • Nicu

          Nicu 1:46 pm on February 2, 2012 3 days ago

          The minute Cook says dividend, no matter in what context or timeframe, the fundamentals will start correcting themselves. At the present rhythm of growth, in July 2014 Apple will have its present value in cash and earning more than $200B per year.

          There is absolutely no way (dividends or not, even with slower growth than the present 95%) that by the end of 2014 the stock to be less than $800 – except maybe an economical or other cataclysm. Knowing that you can double your money in less than 3 years is considered a wondrous gift by 99% of the investing population. Those who only invest in the stock can easily handle a double dip, their gains will simply be delayed.

          Fundamentals tell you the long term story. One who wants to invest today should be ecstatic that there such a predictable growth story out there (due to crazily compressed P/E). Lamenting that the market is not rational does not bring any profit.

          • henrystar

            Richard 11:11 pm on February 2, 2012 3 days ago

            Oh, I am long AAPL!

          • conshmillo

            conshmillo 6:59 am on February 3, 2012 3 days ago

            I’ve never been Apple skeptic and I still am not, but there is no such thing as a sure thing in markets. As for fundamentals time frame for their usefulness is so big that I don’t care. By the time fundamentals reflect themselves in price, I move my money literarily hundred times over. I think fundamentals have real value only for a really big hedge or mutual funds with serious mountains of money. For small investor, I believe, (no news there) technicals server better purpose.

  • Nicu 4:03 pm on January 27, 2012 - 9 days ago

    1
    Nicu

    Apple added about $17 per share in cash last quarter and it’s trading only $14 higher than a week ago before earnings report and about $19 higher than Oct. high before earnings (+ $25.6 / share since then).

    I can see the P/E (including cash) touching 10 by July earnings, oh my!

     
    • henrystar

      Richard 8:59 pm on January 27, 2012 9 days ago

      No one can sell because it is so cheap.

  • 6
    Nicu

    Nicu 9:31 pm on January 24, 2012 - 12 days ago

    EPS 13.87$
    Rev. $46.33B
    GM 44.7%

    iPhone 37M
    iPad 15.4M
    Mac 5.2M
    iPod 15.4M

     
  • Nicu 5:49 pm on January 24, 2012 - 12 days ago

    1
     
    • henrystar

      Richard 9:45 pm on January 24, 2012 12 days ago

      Android is passé. Dé.jas vu! Vieux jeu. Or, as one says in Japanese, Sayonara, baby!

  • Nicu 6:23 pm on January 23, 2012 - 13 days ago

    Nicu

    Tesla received some tax credit from California ($23.7M) and is planning to invest $292M to expand manufacturing for Model X and battery / power train for Toyota Rav4 EV, while creating 1,237 jobs (they are very precise!). (Dow Jones Venturewire – sorry, no link)

    Now they have estimated in the past that total cost of bringing the Model X to the market is about $150M because they leverage the Model S platform. A drivable prototype will be unveiled on Feb. 9 so a large chunk of those $150M development costs have already been spent.

    So what I see here is a confirmation of the $1B or so order from Toyota they hinted to last summer but probably got an iron fist from their partner in their mouth (the supplier and generally the smaller partner does not announce a deal).

     
  • Nicu 9:42 pm on January 19, 2012 - 17 days ago

    2
    Nicu

    necessary correction in GOOG after missing estimates + quarterly EPS growth of 6.3% y/y
    even so, their P/E will be nicely above 18 tomorrow with anemic growth

    with a P/E of 18 (and growth north of 80% y/y), AAPL would be about $600 on Wednesday after earnings – not gonna happen; but I maintain my prediction that by the end of the year one share of AAPL will be more expensive to buy than one GOOG

     
    • Nicu

      Nicu 9:44 pm on January 19, 2012 17 days ago

      that’s no reason to short GOOG

      as for AMZN, they hugely deserve it, with a P/E north of 100, negative growth and probably a loss during the last quarter

      • conshmillo

        conshmillo 1:41 am on January 20, 2012 17 days ago

        iBook 2/iBook Author should mainly be freaking out Amazon as it is targeted at getting slice of their pie.

  • Nicu 7:31 pm on January 19, 2012 - 17 days ago

    1
    Nicu

    My earnings estimates $12.46 EPS on $43.85B revenue

    http://t.co/KCV6wT1Z

     
    • Nicu

      Nicu 7:44 pm on January 19, 2012 17 days ago

      details in the picture (I know it’s lazy not to upload it somewhere …)

  • TRADE

    Nicu 4:08 pm on January 19, 2012 - 17 days ago

    3
    Nicu

    in TSLA Jan ’14 $40 C @ $3.7

     
    • Nicu

      Nicu 3:09 pm on January 20, 2012 16 days ago

      more @ $3.4

    • Nicu

      Nicu 2:41 pm on January 26, 2012 10 days ago

      more @ $3.1

    • Nicu

      Nicu 3:08 pm on January 31, 2012 5 days ago

      more @ $3

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