Body
  • TRADE

    Nicu 1:41 pm on May 11, 2015 - 807 days ago

    18
    Nicu

    in 1 (small) lot of Jan 16 $135 C @ $6.95 – ready to add, improve etc. if it goes lower; I will simply try to go slow / buy more only when price variations are large

     
    • SB

      SB 3:39 pm on May 11, 2015 807 days ago

      Was that a $145 C? bid on 135 is 10.40 two hours later …. and 145 is 6.70.

      • Nicu

        Nicu 9:57 pm on May 11, 2015 806 days ago

        are you looking at J16 or J17? I took Jan16, they are $135 C

        • SB

          SB 4:02 pm on May 12, 2015 806 days ago

          Weird. Was using Google finance. Numbers are incorrect there, and apparently unchanged.

          • Nicu

            Nicu 9:27 pm on May 12, 2015 805 days ago

            I would say normal ;) Just don’t trust Google with anything worthy!

    • Nicu

      Nicu 6:39 pm on June 9, 2015 777 days ago

      +1 lot @ $6.25 earlier today

    • Nicu

      Nicu 9:59 am on June 28, 2015 759 days ago

      forgot to report +2 lots @ $5.5 last week I think; was a busy week as we moved to Geneva for 6 months

    • Nicu

      Nicu 1:59 pm on July 8, 2015 749 days ago

      +2 lots @ $4.1

    • Nicu

      Nicu 5:54 pm on July 9, 2015 747 days ago

      +3 @ $3.65

      • SB

        SB 6:28 pm on July 24, 2015 732 days ago

        I was looking to join you on a recent dip, but set my limit order a tad too low at 3.30, didn’t execute.

        In looking at other strikes, I see 130 and 120 with a lot of open interest and volume, but I don’t see any 125s. however, there are 122.86, 125.71, and other fractionals. Any idea what is going on? Very surprised there is no 125 available.

        • SB

          SB 6:07 pm on August 3, 2015 722 days ago

          fractionals apparently the result of the split.

          • Nicu

            Nicu 9:40 pm on August 3, 2015 722 days ago

            indeed

            I’m slow to answer as I am travelling to Romania and and on top of keeping busy, there are some connection issues here and there

    • Nicu

      Nicu 9:42 pm on August 3, 2015 722 days ago

      + 3 lots @ $3.25 a few days ago
      then converted all 12 lots to $130 C @ 44c today

      • Nicu

        Nicu 12:31 pm on August 4, 2015 722 days ago

        oops, that is $132.86 C, not $130 C – that is the final destination at the right price

      • Nicu

        Nicu 2:53 pm on August 4, 2015 722 days ago

        improved all to $130 C @ 53c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 8:45 pm on August 11, 2015 714 days ago

        improved 4 lots (out of 12) to $125.71 C @ $1.15

        • Nicu

          Nicu 3:00 pm on August 12, 2015 714 days ago

          improved 4 lots to $125.71 C @ 95c
          improved the remaining 4 lots to $125.71 C @ 85c

    • Nicu

      Nicu 2:02 pm on August 19, 2015 707 days ago

      + 3 lots of Jan ’16 $130 C @ $2.75 – I like to believe this is the last straight buy in this whole strategy; I will only improve via spreads if the price nosedives again

      • Nicu

        Nicu 4:30 pm on August 21, 2015 705 days ago

        improved those 3 lots to $125.71 C @ 74c

  • TRADE

    Nicu 2:07 pm on April 28, 2015 - 820 days ago

    2
    Nicu

    sold short May 22 $130 P @ $3.5 – against about a third of my cash, say that is a lot (much smaller than lots in other posts / trades)

     
    • Nicu

      Nicu 3:14 pm on May 18, 2015 800 days ago

      rolled to short Jun 5 $129 P for 60c credit

    • Nicu

      Nicu 1:36 pm on May 22, 2015 796 days ago

      bought to close @ 71c – profit net of fees, $3.30

  • 2
    Nicu

    Nicu 8:23 am on April 21, 2015 - 827 days ago

    You will excuse me that I will not try to guess revenue, EPS etc. with a spreadsheet this time. There are several reasons, I’m lazy, it’s not necessarily more accurate if you put up a spreadsheet and it may not matter that much. By that I mean that cash return program and the Watch will be at least as important. About the Watch, I think they will not give any numbers, but sales will be visible in the next quarter revenue and GM guidance.

    About earnings for FQ2 (CQ1), numbers from usage data aggregators suggest to me about 61.5M iPhones sold. Some analysts think they will reduce channel inventory, I think it will be up or at least flat. Usage data is not homogenous with Q1, it’s not so much a novelty now, and sales are more skewed toward Asia, not sure how usage data is collected there. So I think iPhone will be in the 60M to 65M range, implying revenue around $60B (other revenue like iPad will be down too). They have guided GM a bit up so I’ll say 39-40%, which a quick estimate will give EPS of about $2.30 to $2.40, also depending of how many extra shares they have bought back.

    I think the 3 good news (earnings, more cash return, very good guidance) have reasonable chance to unlock the stock from the $120-$130 range towards the upside. Of course, as they say, if you want to see if god(s) have a sense of humour, make a plan!

     
    • Nicu

      Nicu 8:30 pm on April 27, 2015 820 days ago

      Yess !!!

      61.2M iPhones, EPS $2.33

    • Nicu

      Nicu 8:31 pm on April 27, 2015 820 days ago

      $130B -> $200B capital return program

  • TRADE

    Nicu 2:30 pm on March 10, 2015 - 869 days ago

    22
    Nicu

    in May 15 $135 C @ $2.75 – call that one lot

    this is mostly related to earnings, change in capital return policies etc. in April – I plan to increase the play if AAPL keeps going lower, especially if it does so very fast and I recover something from the remaining March puts

     
    • Nicu

      Nicu 7:52 pm on March 11, 2015 867 days ago

      + 1 lot of May 15 $130 C @ $3.2

      • Nicu

        Nicu 8:01 pm on April 17, 2015 830 days ago

        +1 @ $2.41

      • Nicu

        Nicu 7:54 pm on April 27, 2015 820 days ago

        exchanged all $130 C to $135 C for $2.46 credit – defensive, not a great price given the IV, but if it goes my way, the difference will not matter; if it crashes, at least I have saved about 40% or so of the entire play

        • Nicu

          Nicu 2:02 pm on April 30, 2015 818 days ago

          improved (yesterday) all to $132 C @ 70c

    • Nicu

      Nicu 7:13 pm on April 7, 2015 840 days ago

      + 1 lot $135 C @ $1.84 (I wanted to set the limit at $1.75 after chasing it lower for a few weeks; but fat finger got it for 9 extra cents; not the end of the world, but definitely substandard)

      • Nicu

        Nicu 3:04 pm on April 8, 2015 840 days ago

        +1 lot @ $1.5

      • Nicu

        Nicu 7:58 pm on April 21, 2015 826 days ago

        improved 1 lot to $133 C @ 49c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 5:09 pm on April 22, 2015 825 days ago

        improved the remaining 2 lots to $133 C @ 53c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 2:02 pm on April 30, 2015 818 days ago

        improved 1.5 lots to $131 C @ 36c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 6:43 pm on May 4, 2015 813 days ago

        improved the remaining 1.5 lots of $133 C to $132 C @ 22c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 11:51 am on May 6, 2015 812 days ago

        improved (yesterday) all $132 C to $131 C @ 15c – obviously I am in quite a bad shape on this bet, I need the wind to change direction quickly :(

      • Nicu

        Nicu 9:09 am on May 8, 2015 810 days ago

        improved all (on Wednesday) $131 C to $130 C @ 11c

    • Nicu

      Nicu 5:20 pm on April 20, 2015 827 days ago

      in 1.5 lots of Apr 24 $125 P @ 35c – just in case it goes back down, it will give me a boost so I could get in with more calls for earnings

      • Nicu

        Nicu 5:45 pm on April 22, 2015 825 days ago

        improved all puts to $126 P @ 14c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 4:28 pm on April 23, 2015 825 days ago

        improved all to $127 P @ 12c earlier today

      • Nicu

        Nicu 4:38 pm on April 23, 2015 825 days ago

        improved again to $128 P @ 9c

    • Nicu

      Nicu 2:23 pm on April 24, 2015 824 days ago

      in 1.5 lots of $131 C expiring today @ 6c – speculative day play

    • Nicu

      Nicu 1:42 pm on April 28, 2015 820 days ago

      in 2 lots of May 29 $135 C @ $2.15 – I think this reaction is completely injustified

      • Nicu

        Nicu 2:06 pm on April 28, 2015 820 days ago

        +1 lot @ $1.65

      • Nicu

        Nicu 7:19 pm on May 4, 2015 813 days ago

        improved all to $133 C @ 45c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 1:41 pm on May 11, 2015 807 days ago

        improved all $133 C to $132 C @ 17c

    • Nicu

      Nicu 7:40 pm on June 5, 2015 781 days ago

      Obviously all calls expired. Was right on EPS and iPhone sales, which were indeed unexpectedly high. But this is another proof that the market has its own mind, disconnected from reality, especially in the short term.

  • Nicu 3:19 pm on February 20, 2015 - 887 days ago

    5
    Nicu

    MaxPain – $118 – $242.34M, $120 – 246.88M (almost flat), $125 – $370.1M, $128 – $487.38M

    There is some game to play, but Greece could make it go either way in a big way (which is good for very short term option jockeys (/ junkies?) like me)

     
    • Nicu

      Nicu 5:48 pm on February 20, 2015 886 days ago

      in $127 P @ 2c (order not completely filled, but already a good bunch)

      • Nicu

        Nicu 6:04 pm on February 20, 2015 886 days ago

        filled

    • SB

      SB 7:59 pm on February 20, 2015 886 days ago

      some fascinating price action around 14:55. Last 100 trades almost all at one of two price points – $129.04 and $129.25xx, where xx is a fraction.

    • Nicu

      Nicu 8:14 pm on February 20, 2015 886 days ago

      deal with Greece, so MaxPain doesn’t matter anymore

    • conshmillo

      conshmillo 9:19 pm on February 20, 2015 886 days ago

      It again went toward the strongest peak ($130) rather than toward the median of peaks ($118). If this is strong enough repetitive pattern we have a game here.

  • Nicu 3:44 pm on February 17, 2015 - 890 days ago

    Nicu

    $900

     
  • Nicu 10:27 am on February 16, 2015 - 891 days ago

    7
    Nicu

    Our second daughter, Clara Simona, was born this morning. Everybody’s fine :D

    My adrenalin is calming down just now, making place for sweet and gentle happiness …

     
    • Senator Gronk

      Senator Gronk 5:19 pm on February 16, 2015 890 days ago

      Congratulations! We have #2 in the oven right now, don’t know if it’s another boy or (hopefully) a girl. Having kids is the very definition of exciting, that is, = Σ(hope+fear+…+emotion_n). ; )

      • Nicu

        Nicu 7:27 pm on February 16, 2015 890 days ago

        Thanks ;)

        Do you mean )^n instead of _n) ?

    • JPWatkins

      JPWatkins 11:10 pm on February 16, 2015 890 days ago

      Whoa! Congratulations.
      I didn’t realize you two were expecting. My Mom will be glad to hear it. Please pass on our good wishes to R. (& E.)

    • conshmillo

      conshmillo 2:15 am on February 17, 2015 890 days ago

      congrats to both of you!

    • SB

      SB 6:49 pm on February 17, 2015 889 days ago

      Congrats, Nicu. Having 2 girls myself – happiness, yes, sweet, absolutely yes, gentle …. not so much.

    • Rick-o

      Rick-o 7:45 pm on February 17, 2015 889 days ago

      Congrats!

    • Nicu

      Nicu 8:38 pm on February 17, 2015 889 days ago

      Thank you all!

  • Nicu 7:30 pm on February 13, 2015 - 893 days ago

    9
    Nicu

    Max Pain $121 – $53.1M total options value as of yesterday’s close (lots of options C & P trades at $125-$127 strikes today), $125 – $76.8M, $126 – $91.1M

    I might try another puts bet ;)

     
    • Nicu

      Nicu 7:51 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

      partial (89%) order filled for Feb 13 $125 C @ 3c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 7:52 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

        completed, call those 3 lots

      • Nicu

        Nicu 7:58 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

        + 5 lots @ 2c

    • Nicu

      Nicu 8:00 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

      in 1 lot Feb 13 $126 P @ 10c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 8:08 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

        + 1 lot @ 4c

    • Nicu

      Nicu 8:25 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

      doesn’t seem to work this time; orders to sell for nice profits in place, if miracle … otherwise will let them fade (expire)

      but, as a friend says about lateral parking, it has to look bad at first to be good, you never know

      • conshmillo

        conshmillo 8:39 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

        I am still not sure whether closest OI peak doesn’t work better than actual Max Pain which is just a median. Closest peak would be 107 in this case.

    • Nicu

      Nicu 8:50 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

      in 1.2 lots of $127 P @ 4c – crazy, I know :)

    • Nicu

      Nicu 9:00 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

      all expired

  • TRADE

    Nicu 2:35 pm on February 9, 2015 - 898 days ago

    41
    Nicu

    in Mar 13 $110 P @ $0.98

     
    • Nicu

      Nicu 6:17 pm on February 9, 2015 897 days ago

      in Mar 6 $110 P @ 60c (2 lots, where 1 lot = the quantity of Mar 13 P above)

      • Nicu

        Nicu 5:12 pm on February 10, 2015 896 days ago

        improved all to $112 P @ 15c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 3:34 pm on February 11, 2015 896 days ago

        improved all to $114 P @ 14c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 8:02 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

        improved all to $117 P @ 17c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 7:55 pm on February 18, 2015 888 days ago

        improved all to $119 P @ 11c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 2:39 pm on February 20, 2015 887 days ago

        improved all to $121 P @ 12c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 8:56 pm on February 23, 2015 883 days ago

        improved to $123 P @ 7c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 9:00 pm on March 6, 2015 872 days ago

        expired

    • Nicu

      Nicu 8:44 pm on February 9, 2015 897 days ago

      in Mar 20 $115 P @ $2 – 1 lot

      • Nicu

        Nicu 7:56 pm on February 10, 2015 896 days ago

        + 1 lot @ $1.3

      • Nicu

        Nicu 3:54 pm on February 18, 2015 889 days ago

        +1 lot @ 38c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 3:04 pm on March 10, 2015 869 days ago

        improved all to $117 P @ 10c – not the best day to do it; strikes between $115 and $120 were previously not available, so I have just set a low enough price for that when I realized new strikes are available

    • Nicu

      Nicu 5:11 pm on February 10, 2015 896 days ago

      in Mar 27 $111 P @ $1

      • Nicu

        Nicu 8:35 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

        improved all to $113 P @ 14c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 3:14 pm on February 17, 2015 890 days ago

        improved all to $115 P @ 16c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 2:39 pm on February 20, 2015 887 days ago

        improved all to $117 P @ 16c

    • Nicu

      Nicu 5:53 pm on February 10, 2015 896 days ago

      improved all Mar 13 $110 P to $112 P @ 20c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 3:34 pm on February 11, 2015 896 days ago

        improved all to $114 P @ 19c

    • Nicu

      Nicu 8:45 pm on February 10, 2015 896 days ago

      + 1 lot Mar 13 $111 P @ 49c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 3:34 pm on February 11, 2015 896 days ago

        improved all to $114 P @ 28c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 8:14 pm on February 13, 2015 893 days ago

        improved all to $116 P @ 15c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 3:44 pm on February 17, 2015 890 days ago

        improved all to $118 P @ 15c (2 lots, including the node just above)

      • Nicu

        Nicu 5:47 pm on February 20, 2015 886 days ago

        improved to $120 P @ 16c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 8:12 pm on March 16, 2015 862 days ago

        expired last Friday

    • Nicu

      Nicu 3:38 pm on February 11, 2015 896 days ago

      in Feb 13 $120 P @ 10c – 6 lots

    • eatingbeets

      eatingbeets 4:30 pm on February 11, 2015 896 days ago

      Why all the puts? Seems like a dangerous play…

      • Nicu

        Nicu 5:22 pm on February 11, 2015 895 days ago

        Mostly Greece

        • eatingbeets

          eatingbeets 7:56 pm on February 11, 2015 895 days ago

          Ha I suppose it’s possible but why not buy puts on DIA?

          • Nicu

            Nicu 8:47 pm on February 11, 2015 895 days ago

            Apple may get more volatile at times. It didn’t manage to go up with absurd earnings, so why should it continue for long? Hedgies will start looking for a reload before April (new great earnings, Watch, new cash return program).

            Or maybe I’m just chicken, sticking with what I know ;)

            • eatingbeets

              eatingbeets 6:15 am on February 12, 2015 895 days ago

              I think the gradual reload is happening now and everything you mention above will be “baked in” by April.

            • Nicu

              Nicu 7:26 am on February 12, 2015 895 days ago

              usually dumb money loads at the top, but what do I know?
              this time may be different …

      • Nicu

        Nicu 5:23 pm on February 11, 2015 895 days ago

        And yes, it is dangerous in the sense that it is almost a binary output

        • Nicu

          Nicu 5:23 pm on February 11, 2015 895 days ago

          or outcome, maybe it’s better

      • conshmillo

        conshmillo 9:01 pm on February 11, 2015 895 days ago

        There was no extraordinary volume in past two days rise. But it is true, contrarian short term plays, especially with options are hard. Trend traders consistently won ever since 2008 crisis. Redefinition of balanced portfolio should be that one has there both, contrarian and trend positions.

    • Nicu

      Nicu 5:25 pm on February 11, 2015 895 days ago

      + 2 lots of Mar 6 $115 P @ 48c – I am definitely at more than $25k in this bet at this point, I will slow down and then accept defeat if there is no sigh in my direction

      • Nicu

        Nicu 8:47 pm on February 11, 2015 895 days ago

        sign :) edit, please

      • Nicu

        Nicu 3:13 pm on February 17, 2015 890 days ago

        improved all to $118 P @ 14c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 8:29 pm on February 18, 2015 888 days ago

        improved all to $120 P @ 11c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 5:47 pm on February 20, 2015 886 days ago

        improved to $122 P @ 16c

      • Nicu

        Nicu 9:01 pm on March 6, 2015 872 days ago

        expired!

    • Nicu

      Nicu 6:46 pm on March 31, 2015 847 days ago

      all puts expired

  • 9
    Nicu

    Nicu 11:03 am on February 9, 2015 - 898 days ago

    I have a bad feeling about Greece. Not only it looks like the spending cap negotiations in the US which have spooked the markets, but a mix of history (greeks want money from Germany for WWII), incompatible politics, geo-strategic chess with Putin, rigid european rules (Europe is not even 10% as integrated as the US), bank runs in Greece and an air of Lehman Brothers (let them fail to teach the others a lesson).

    Not to mention pride on both sides, I was talking to my wife yesterday and she said “I cannot believe there is a possibility that they do not find a compromise, it’s their job as politicians”. My answer was that (except Merkel), those are mostly guys who put pride, revenge and pissing / chicken games above the general interest. On top of that, if you follow the money, politicians are not there to solve problems, but to get and retain votes. If this means selling snake oil or killing your adversary (not physically, of course), so be it!

    In short, if there is no crash today at open, I will start a relatively large play on puts on AAPL (the greatest and easiest sucker to manipulate if you want to change markets but also the amplifier chamber of genuine market moves). I will get in in several steps and several strikes / expiration dates.

    I know they say they have built protection dams, reduced exposure, that this is already priced in and so on, but I believe in their dams as much as in those at Fukushima, after fact!

     
    • conshmillo

      conshmillo 1:02 am on February 10, 2015 897 days ago

      Both China, and Putin’s clique will try to leverage this to their benefit. People ask why EU just doesn’t dump Greece, why do they put up with them. I think main reason is that they don’t want China or Putin’s clique operate in EU’s backyard. I think newly elected Greek leaders are aware of this and are using it as a leverage. And if they don’t get their way they just may turn for loan to China, and China may gladly help them in exchange of control of Greek ports.

    • Nicu

      Nicu 1:54 pm on February 10, 2015 897 days ago

      Rumors saying they are approaching agreement, I remain stubborn as usual ;) – will improve and add puts with every new opportunity.

      Btw, AAPL did not crash without reason for quite a while now, so even if Greek problems are somehow “resolved” (put under the rug), we may still have an unexpected profit taking in AAPL concomitant with a flood of “Apple is doomed” press. As usual, this may be just wishful thinking … please let me know if I should keep those thoughts for myself :p

      • conshmillo

        conshmillo 8:48 pm on February 10, 2015 896 days ago

        Nah, just let it out. :-)

    • Nicu

      Nicu 9:35 pm on February 17, 2015 889 days ago

      Those guys (greek quasi-communists) are either the best poker players ever or completely out of their minds (or the info I have is unreliable). It seems they want to ask for money for 6 months or so without the obligations of the present programme / contract, when the other 18 told them they need insurance that they will follow all signed upon obligations, before talking about flexibility and of course, money.

      What is their last move? They plan to vote this Friday (the deadline to accept conditions) social laws that are in contradiction with the present programme, forbidding conditions to be met.

      Sorry, my source is in French
      http://www.boursorama.com/actualites/la-grece-fait-fi-de-l-ultimatum-de-la-zone-euro-mais-veut-reprendre-les-discussions-d19e3515182cb8546bde03c7ad25f2cc

      It is either politics / diplomacy has a parallel logic than the one I know, or that one thing I thought I could really rely on is failing me (must be induced hormones!). The third possibility is that Greece will crash and burn, which would indeed be terribly sad for those people who suffer and thought they have finally found the way out of the hole.

    • JPWatkins

      JPWatkins 4:40 am on February 19, 2015 888 days ago

      I’m sure my view is not popular in western Europe, but it seems to me the Euro is fundamentally structurally flawed and that this will inevitably lead to the sort of problems seen with the PIGS. The Euro is wonderful and convenient, but . . .
      It seems a currency requires tight centralized control that’s based on a single reality and strategy. I understand there are nods to this idea in the regulations set up for the Euro, but I also read that they have no real enforcement teeth. So long as EU member nations can essentially print their own Euros without regard to the larger financial situation and the wishes of other members, they will do so and there will be problems.
      It seems strange to me that The UK appears to be the only EU member that saw this as a problem early on. Am I mistaken?

      • Nicu

        Nicu 7:51 am on February 19, 2015 888 days ago

        I am pretty sure that only ECB can print euros, otherwise Greece would not fight so hard for new cash.

        UK is not in the euro zone (still have their pound), so they do not have to put up a pretty face and say everything is good until they fall in the abyss. And of course, they are practical business people, if you see a great risk, you hedge. The rest of Europe is much more ideological but also in the heat of the game, do not have the luxury to take an outside view.

        I keep saying to myself for the last two weeks: turkeys! I am so unsure what I want to happen, that I have decided not to wish for anything, just take things as they come. It’s just a pity for the greek people that they have drunk the cool-aid (not to say snake oil). Maybe for ideological reasons too, I think voting communists will cost them dearly during the following decades.

        • JPWatkins

          JPWatkins 6:13 pm on February 19, 2015 887 days ago

          I know they can’t *actually* print money. But they seem to be able to deficit spend like a sovereign state that prints their own money, which seems effectively like the same thing. US states suffer immediate problems in the market if they try that (at least they should, if the market is paying attention. Nobody will buy their bond issues.)

        • Nicu

          Nicu 6:27 pm on February 19, 2015 887 days ago

          well, that was the whole deal in 2012 and before: Greece gets low interest funding from EU if they give up freedom in implementing reforms; they were just out of recession but at a much lower absolute level than before the crisis (like many other countries, but more pronounced); now Greece wants more money and less control; I am in no position to judge if less austerity would restart the economic engine, but my own opinion is not until they have a functioning justice, bureaucracy and tax collecting system on top of eliminating political clientelism

          on the other hand, those things take years if not decades to change so it’s outside the frame of present struggles – I guess tomorrow we will have a better view of the situation; but during the last two weeks or so, every new day make the crystal ball foggier than the previous

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