• piero

    piero 5:31 pm on February 9, 2017 - 345 days ago

    During the nice Yahoo Finance initiative yesterday, it was mentioned this joke from New Yorker. Wonderful! :-) :-) :-)

  • conshmillo 8:41 pm on January 20, 2016 - 731 days ago


    Looks like this thing is finally trying to bounce back.

    • Nicu

      Nicu 10:29 pm on January 20, 2016 731 days ago

      Hope so. I’am all in (AAPL calls) so my hands are tied :(

      • conshmillo

        conshmillo 7:33 am on January 23, 2016 728 days ago

        Hope you are healing a bit.

  • conshmillo 5:04 am on September 18, 2015 - 855 days ago


    Sorry guys, server was down. I am traveling and could not get to it sooner.

  • 8

    conshmillo 12:56 am on March 18, 2015 - 1040 days ago

    Rarely I see technology that REALLY surprises me. When I saw this I was really impressed.


    • piero

      piero 3:43 pm on March 18, 2015 1039 days ago

      WFK! I was doing the same post, Boss!!

      But you missed this one:

      and an interesting source:

      So we’r even! ;-)

      Who’s gonna buy DDD or SSYS now?

      • piero

        piero 3:45 pm on March 18, 2015 1039 days ago

        may be is this one to embed?

      • conshmillo

        conshmillo 11:18 pm on March 18, 2015 1039 days ago

        Yeah, I saw that one too. It was embedded in the BBC article I linked. Awesome huh?

    • JPWatkins

      JPWatkins 1:05 am on March 20, 2015 1038 days ago

      This is more like I’ve been wanting to see. The hot glue 3D printing has always been a poor, cheap, stopgap measure.

      • JPWatkins

        JPWatkins 6:38 am on March 27, 2015 1030 days ago

        I’d like to see 3D printing that gets away from polymers. While they are useful, they aren’t sustainable and are not an appropriate default material. It migh be interesting to see printing done in wax or styrofoam to use for casting metal objects (combining digital and traditional technologies.) Of course there are some 3D printing schemes that can do metal (semi) directly, but they tend to be expensive. I’ve seen printers that build stuff out of corn starch, which might sound stupid, but it’s great for study of 3D forms for early product prototypes.
        This whole area is just starting to get interesting as new areas and applications are starting to be explored.

  • conshmillo 11:15 am on March 16, 2015 - 1041 days ago


    Call me paranoid but I have this uneasy feeling that Russia is about going to do something nutty. Like invading the Ukraine, Latvia or Lithuania. Putting on alert 40,00 troops and spilling in the news that they had been ready for a full nuclear alert during Crimea takeover (meaning: don’t mess with us if we do something nutty) and Putin’s absence makes me nervous. They could do the full Ukraine invasion like they did in Czechoslovakia in 1968 and nobody would do nothing. Some sanctions a lot of saber rattling tough talk but I don’t think anybody would go in the war with Russia over Ukraine. If some of Russian ultranationalistic militant policy makers see things this way, they may go for it.

    • Nicu

      Nicu 8:17 pm on March 16, 2015 1041 days ago

      Why invade poor western part of Ukraine if they already control the rich east?

      • conshmillo

        conshmillo 12:43 am on March 17, 2015 1041 days ago

        Many reasons. And resources are not one of them. They have plenty of that. But some other reasons are more valid. To push the border further away from Moscow (bigger buffer from NATO). Neo pan-slavism led by who else – mother Russia. Dreams of big strong Soviet Union. Or just to show everyone they have big balls and nobody can mess with them.

  • 9

    Nicu 11:03 am on February 9, 2015 - 1076 days ago

    I have a bad feeling about Greece. Not only it looks like the spending cap negotiations in the US which have spooked the markets, but a mix of history (greeks want money from Germany for WWII), incompatible politics, geo-strategic chess with Putin, rigid european rules (Europe is not even 10% as integrated as the US), bank runs in Greece and an air of Lehman Brothers (let them fail to teach the others a lesson).

    Not to mention pride on both sides, I was talking to my wife yesterday and she said “I cannot believe there is a possibility that they do not find a compromise, it’s their job as politicians”. My answer was that (except Merkel), those are mostly guys who put pride, revenge and pissing / chicken games above the general interest. On top of that, if you follow the money, politicians are not there to solve problems, but to get and retain votes. If this means selling snake oil or killing your adversary (not physically, of course), so be it!

    In short, if there is no crash today at open, I will start a relatively large play on puts on AAPL (the greatest and easiest sucker to manipulate if you want to change markets but also the amplifier chamber of genuine market moves). I will get in in several steps and several strikes / expiration dates.

    I know they say they have built protection dams, reduced exposure, that this is already priced in and so on, but I believe in their dams as much as in those at Fukushima, after fact!

    • conshmillo

      conshmillo 1:02 am on February 10, 2015 1076 days ago

      Both China, and Putin’s clique will try to leverage this to their benefit. People ask why EU just doesn’t dump Greece, why do they put up with them. I think main reason is that they don’t want China or Putin’s clique operate in EU’s backyard. I think newly elected Greek leaders are aware of this and are using it as a leverage. And if they don’t get their way they just may turn for loan to China, and China may gladly help them in exchange of control of Greek ports.

    • Nicu

      Nicu 1:54 pm on February 10, 2015 1075 days ago

      Rumors saying they are approaching agreement, I remain stubborn as usual ;) – will improve and add puts with every new opportunity.

      Btw, AAPL did not crash without reason for quite a while now, so even if Greek problems are somehow “resolved” (put under the rug), we may still have an unexpected profit taking in AAPL concomitant with a flood of “Apple is doomed” press. As usual, this may be just wishful thinking … please let me know if I should keep those thoughts for myself :p

      • conshmillo

        conshmillo 8:48 pm on February 10, 2015 1075 days ago

        Nah, just let it out. :-)

    • Nicu

      Nicu 9:35 pm on February 17, 2015 1068 days ago

      Those guys (greek quasi-communists) are either the best poker players ever or completely out of their minds (or the info I have is unreliable). It seems they want to ask for money for 6 months or so without the obligations of the present programme / contract, when the other 18 told them they need insurance that they will follow all signed upon obligations, before talking about flexibility and of course, money.

      What is their last move? They plan to vote this Friday (the deadline to accept conditions) social laws that are in contradiction with the present programme, forbidding conditions to be met.

      Sorry, my source is in French

      It is either politics / diplomacy has a parallel logic than the one I know, or that one thing I thought I could really rely on is failing me (must be induced hormones!). The third possibility is that Greece will crash and burn, which would indeed be terribly sad for those people who suffer and thought they have finally found the way out of the hole.

    • JPWatkins

      JPWatkins 4:40 am on February 19, 2015 1066 days ago

      I’m sure my view is not popular in western Europe, but it seems to me the Euro is fundamentally structurally flawed and that this will inevitably lead to the sort of problems seen with the PIGS. The Euro is wonderful and convenient, but . . .
      It seems a currency requires tight centralized control that’s based on a single reality and strategy. I understand there are nods to this idea in the regulations set up for the Euro, but I also read that they have no real enforcement teeth. So long as EU member nations can essentially print their own Euros without regard to the larger financial situation and the wishes of other members, they will do so and there will be problems.
      It seems strange to me that The UK appears to be the only EU member that saw this as a problem early on. Am I mistaken?

      • Nicu

        Nicu 7:51 am on February 19, 2015 1066 days ago

        I am pretty sure that only ECB can print euros, otherwise Greece would not fight so hard for new cash.

        UK is not in the euro zone (still have their pound), so they do not have to put up a pretty face and say everything is good until they fall in the abyss. And of course, they are practical business people, if you see a great risk, you hedge. The rest of Europe is much more ideological but also in the heat of the game, do not have the luxury to take an outside view.

        I keep saying to myself for the last two weeks: turkeys! I am so unsure what I want to happen, that I have decided not to wish for anything, just take things as they come. It’s just a pity for the greek people that they have drunk the cool-aid (not to say snake oil). Maybe for ideological reasons too, I think voting communists will cost them dearly during the following decades.

        • JPWatkins

          JPWatkins 6:13 pm on February 19, 2015 1066 days ago

          I know they can’t *actually* print money. But they seem to be able to deficit spend like a sovereign state that prints their own money, which seems effectively like the same thing. US states suffer immediate problems in the market if they try that (at least they should, if the market is paying attention. Nobody will buy their bond issues.)

        • Nicu

          Nicu 6:27 pm on February 19, 2015 1066 days ago

          well, that was the whole deal in 2012 and before: Greece gets low interest funding from EU if they give up freedom in implementing reforms; they were just out of recession but at a much lower absolute level than before the crisis (like many other countries, but more pronounced); now Greece wants more money and less control; I am in no position to judge if less austerity would restart the economic engine, but my own opinion is not until they have a functioning justice, bureaucracy and tax collecting system on top of eliminating political clientelism

          on the other hand, those things take years if not decades to change so it’s outside the frame of present struggles – I guess tomorrow we will have a better view of the situation; but during the last two weeks or so, every new day make the crystal ball foggier than the previous


    conshmillo 8:52 pm on February 3, 2015 - 1082 days ago


    IN MAR 15 171 P @2.27

    • conshmillo

      conshmillo 8:37 pm on February 5, 2015 1080 days ago

      improved to 175 for -0.93

      • Nicu

        Nicu 11:10 pm on February 5, 2015 1080 days ago

        I know what that means ;)

        • conshmillo

          conshmillo 12:48 am on February 6, 2015 1080 days ago

          I will stick to the terminology you introduced so we are all on the same page.

    • conshmillo

      conshmillo 8:52 pm on February 5, 2015 1080 days ago

      in FEB2 15 176 P @0.72

      • conshmillo

        conshmillo 8:12 pm on February 9, 2015 1076 days ago

        out @1.00 for +.28 (38.89%)

  • 1

    conshmillo 9:25 pm on January 28, 2015 - 1088 days ago

    DJIA/DIA charts are showing pretty much the same pattern as AAPL was a week ago. Except DJIA/DIA has no earnings to pull it out of it. DIA is at the breakline.

    • conshmillo

      conshmillo 9:27 pm on January 28, 2015 1088 days ago

      bought 169 FEB 15 P@2.05

  • 1

    conshmillo 9:23 pm on January 14, 2015 - 1102 days ago

    • Nicu

      Nicu 8:58 am on January 15, 2015 1101 days ago

      I remain skeptical about the supposed value of this “currency”. Even a real one like the gold (has history on its side, but still not a sure bet) or the euro needs confidence to exist and thrive, despite the fact that is backed by a real (but declining, of course) economy, (more or less artificial, like in not voted for) laws and lots of guns (both ECB and real guns).

      But when confidence that Bitcoin is worth anything fizzles, there is no backstop against one of the most unreliable human emotions out there.

  • conshmillo 7:46 pm on January 8, 2015 - 1108 days ago

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