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Therefor I am ultimately the source of every situation I find myself in.
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MSFT steady

Posted by: Conschmillo in Untagged  on

MSFT - the steady, mature, stable the kind of company that enjoys massive, constant, revenue streams year after year.

VS

AAPL - the speculative, constantly changing, company that can gain or lose its competitive advantage very quickly

Or in numbers. In 5 years:

S&P500: -17.98%

MSFT: -20.35%

AAPL:+868.00%

Steady! Ain't it?


AAPL 120.00

Posted by: Conschmillo in Technical AnalysisOpinions on

Here is the chart showing possible breakdown @120.00. Breakdowns (opposite of breakouts) occur when double top or head and shoulders pattern's last leg drops below previous low.  I am not saying here this is what MUST happen. It is just warning for consideration as when breakdowns do occur things move fast. 


Why I believe AAPL rumor was manipulation

Posted by: Conschmillo in Untagged  on

First, have a look at technicals that preceded the situation. On 3 months/daily charts DIA (ETF that tracks DJIA), QQQQ (ETF that tracks Nasdaq) and AAPL itself were at the bullish cross on daily stochastic. In Technical Analysis, a most favorable setup for reversal of direction. Crossovers are like an avalanches, once at the cross, very few technical investors/traders are


If there is anything that moves the economy and therefor the stock market, it is consumer spending. As long as consumers spend, companies keep producing stuff and make money. When they will keep making money, they will keep employing people which in turn will create more income to be spent and so on.

Consumer spending got hit in 2008 in part by the huge increase in gasoline


AAPL before christmas

Posted by: Conschmillo in Untagged  on


Speaking during his weekly address on YouTube Obama outlined more details of his plans to revive the US economy. Putting aside your political preferences take a note of the key parts of his speech. It will help you to decide what to invest in for the next year.


Single largest new investment in our national infrastructure since the creation of the federal highway system in the


Chart for HTF

Posted by: Conschmillo in Untagged  on

It wouldn't be HTF if he didn't have to include some dem conspiracy in any negative event on continental US and Hawaii (Alaska is safe). From technical stand point there is very simple explanation. Remember technical analysis doesn't try to analyze why something happened, just what are the chances that market or individual stock will continue higher, stays same or goes lower


After the Election

Posted by: Conschmillo in UpdateStrategiesOptions on

Technology and alternative energy will be most probably big winners over the next couple of months. I talked to some of you and you already made some bets on clean energy. PBW ETF will do probably very well. It is currently quite overbought on daily stochastic, so it may see small pullback before it goes further up. Barack's victory is in part due to the great use of


AAPL: Short Term Technical

Posted by: Conschmillo in Untagged  on

AAPL although up is actually acting quite weak so far today. It is showing signs of being at overbought levels in short term frame, with stochastic currently at over 80% on daily charts. At the same time market seems to be responding overwhelmingly well to indications of Obama's win and pushing AAPL up. There are two possibilities forming here. There is possible stochastic

Here is what I think, not only in terms of TA but also in terms of strategy into the earnings.

DIA. If you look at today's daily chart on DIA it's MACD is closing up on bullish cross. Fast line is nicely curving up. Today's action caused stochastic to stop downslope and recross bullish on around 45%! That signals strength. This market didn't want to go down to 20% or 5% as it

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Be willing to say 'No!' to anything that is not a resounding 'Yes'.


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